Resource scarcity, climate change and the risk of violent conflict

Resource scarcity, climate change and the risk of violent conflict

‘This paper provides a brief assessment of how natural resource scarcity and global climate change may change the risk of violent conflict in the future. [… ] It emphasizes that problems of resource availability may be as much the result of poor governance as physical constraints, and that the risk posed by climate change or resource scarcity depends as much on the vulnerability of populations, ecosystems, economies and institutions as on the magnitude of climate or scarcity impacts themselves.’

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